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Champions League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 1st Leg
Feb 11, 2025 at 8pm UK
Sydney Football Stadium
P

Juventus
2 - 1
PSV

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Como 1-2 Juventus
Friday, February 7 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: PSV 1-1 Willem II
Saturday, February 8 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie

We said: Juventus 2-1 PSV Eindhoven

With Kolo Muani firing on all cylinders up front, stalemate specialists Juventus are finally converting draws into victories and have already out-witted PSV on one occasion in this season's Champions League. The Dutch outfit can always be backed to make at least one of their forward forays count, but Motta's men still have our vote to take a slender advantage to Eindhoven for the second leg. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a PSV Eindhoven win with a probability of 52.06%. A win for Juventus had a probability of 25.12% and a draw had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a PSV Eindhoven win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.68%) and 0-2 (7.99%). The likeliest Juventus win was 2-1 (6.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.53%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 6.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Juventus in this match.

Result
JuventusDrawPSV Eindhoven
25.12% (-4.854 -4.85) 22.82% (-0.593 -0.59) 52.06% (5.446 5.45)
Both teams to score 59.13% (-2.041 -2.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.88% (-0.881 -0.88)41.12% (0.881 0.88)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.49% (-0.902 -0.9)63.51% (0.902 0.9)
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.29% (-3.901 -3.9)29.71% (3.902 3.9)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.23% (-5.003 -5)65.77% (5.001 5)
PSV Eindhoven Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.12% (1.675 1.68)15.88% (-1.676 -1.68)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.91% (2.998 3)45.09% (-3 -3)
Score Analysis
    Juventus 25.12%
    PSV Eindhoven 52.06%
    Draw 22.81%
JuventusDrawPSV Eindhoven
2-1 @ 6.39% (-0.837 -0.84)
1-0 @ 5.72% (-0.411 -0.41)
2-0 @ 3.47% (-0.681 -0.68)
3-1 @ 2.59% (-0.678 -0.68)
3-2 @ 2.38% (-0.46 -0.46)
3-0 @ 1.41% (-0.471 -0.47)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 25.12%
1-1 @ 10.53% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-2 @ 5.88% (-0.407 -0.41)
0-0 @ 4.72% (0.186 0.19)
3-3 @ 1.46% (-0.187 -0.19)
Other @ 0.22%
Total : 22.81%
1-2 @ 9.7% (0.407 0.41)
0-1 @ 8.68% (0.798 0.8)
0-2 @ 7.99% (1.13 1.13)
1-3 @ 5.95% (0.559 0.56)
0-3 @ 4.9% (0.922 0.92)
2-3 @ 3.61% (-0.04 -0.04)
1-4 @ 2.74% (0.392 0.39)
0-4 @ 2.26% (0.525 0.53)
2-4 @ 1.66% (0.074 0.07)
1-5 @ 1.01% (0.191 0.19)
Other @ 3.58%
Total : 52.06%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Como 1-2 Juventus
Friday, February 7 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Juventus 4-1 Empoli
Sunday, February 2 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Juventus 0-2 Benfica
Wednesday, January 29 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Napoli 2-1 Juventus
Saturday, January 25 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Brugge 0-0 Juventus
Tuesday, January 21 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Juventus 2-0 AC Milan
Saturday, January 18 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: PSV 1-1 Willem II
Saturday, February 8 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: PSV 2-0 Feyenoord
Wednesday, February 5 at 5.45pm in KNVB Beker
Last Game: Nijmegen 3-3 PSV
Saturday, February 1 at 8pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: PSV 3-2 Liverpool
Wednesday, January 29 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: PSV 3-2 NAC Breda
Saturday, January 25 at 5.45pm in Eredivisie
Last Game: Red Star 2-3 PSV
Tuesday, January 21 at 8pm in Champions League


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