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Champions League | Group Stage
Nov 24, 2021 at 8pm UK
Anfield
P

Liverpool
2 - 0
Porto

Alcantara (52'), Salah (70')
Konate (29'), Milner (88')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Uribe (40'), Mbemba (75')

We said: Liverpool 2-1 Porto

Porto will be aware that Wednesday's game represents the best chance they will have to claim their first-ever win against Liverpool, but an injury-hit and much-changed Reds outfit still pose a significant threat. Expect to see a much closer affair between the two clubs than September's meeting at the Estadio do Dragao, but Klopp still possesses the attacking talent and guile to steer his side to an inconsequential win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 57.6%. A draw had a probability of 25% and a win for Porto had a probability of 17.44%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.2%) and 2-1 (9.14%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.45%), while for a Porto win it was 0-1 (7.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Liverpool would win this match.

Result
LiverpoolDrawPorto
57.6%24.96%17.44%
Both teams to score 42.04%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.6%58.4%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.99%79%
Liverpool Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.73%20.27%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.38%52.62%
Porto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
52.73%47.27%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
17.31%82.69%
Score Analysis
    Liverpool 57.6%
    Porto 17.44%
    Draw 24.95%
LiverpoolDrawPorto
1-0 @ 15.29%
2-0 @ 12.2%
2-1 @ 9.14%
3-0 @ 6.49%
3-1 @ 4.87%
4-0 @ 2.59%
4-1 @ 1.94%
3-2 @ 1.82%
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 57.6%
1-1 @ 11.45%
0-0 @ 9.58%
2-2 @ 3.43%
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 24.95%
0-1 @ 7.18%
1-2 @ 4.29%
0-2 @ 2.69%
1-3 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.2%
Total : 17.44%

Read more!
Read more!


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