Man Utd
1 - 3
PSG

Rashford (32')
Fred (23')
Fred (70')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Neymar (6', 90+1'), Marquinhos (69')
Paredes (38'), Verratti (59')

Build‑up

Solskjaer remains confident Man United will progress in CL

Solskjaer: 'I considered substituting Fred at interval'

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 40.11%. A win for Manchester United had a probability of 38.76% and a draw had a probability of 21.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 1-2 with a probability of 7.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (4.96%) and 2-3 (4.73%). The likeliest Manchester United win was 2-1 (7.52%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.

Result
Manchester United	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain
38.76%	21.13%	40.11%

Both teams to score 72.99%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

73.95%

26.05%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

53.73%

46.27%

Manchester United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.18%

14.82%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

56.89%

43.11%

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

85.68%

14.32%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

57.85%

42.15%

Score Analysis

Manchester United 38.76%

Paris Saint-Germain 40.11%

Draw 21.13%

Manchester United	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain
2-1 @ 7.52% 3-1 @ 4.78% 3-2 @ 4.65% 1-0 @ 4.05% 2-0 @ 3.87% 3-0 @ 2.46% 4-1 @ 2.28% 4-2 @ 2.22% 4-3 @ 1.44% 4-0 @ 1.18% Other @ 4.32% Total : 38.76%	1-1 @ 7.87% 2-2 @ 7.31% 3-3 @ 3.01% 0-0 @ 2.12% Other @ 0.82% Total : 21.13%	1-2 @ 7.65% 1-3 @ 4.96% 2-3 @ 4.73% 0-1 @ 4.12% 0-2 @ 4.01% 0-3 @ 2.6% 1-4 @ 2.41% 2-4 @ 2.3% 3-4 @ 1.46% 0-4 @ 1.26% 1-5 @ 0.94% Other @ 3.67% Total : 40.11%