Champions League | Group Stage

Sep 29, 2021 at 8pm UK

Old Trafford

Man Utd
2 - 1
Villarreal

Telles (60'), Ronaldo (90+5')
Greenwood (68'), Telles (71'), Ronaldo (90+6')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Alcacer (53')
Moreno (59'), Pino (67'), Albiol (68'), Pena (90+1')

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The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester United win with a probability of 49.91%. A draw had a probability of 29.1% and a win for Villarreal had a probability of 20.96%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester United win was 1-0 with a probability of 17.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.08%) and 2-1 (8.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 0-0 (13.44%), while for a Villarreal win it was 0-1 (9.71%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Manchester United would win this match.

Result
Manchester United	Draw	Villarreal
49.91%	29.12%	20.96%

Both teams to score 37.2%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

32.51%

67.49%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

14.41%

85.59%

Manchester United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.32%

27.68%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.76%

63.24%

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

51.44%

48.56%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

16.36%

83.64%

Score Analysis

Manchester United 49.9%

Villarreal 20.96%

Draw 29.12%

Manchester United	Draw	Villarreal
1-0 @ 17.26% 2-0 @ 11.08% 2-1 @ 8.01% 3-0 @ 4.75% 3-1 @ 3.43% 4-0 @ 1.52% 3-2 @ 1.24% 4-1 @ 1.1% Other @ 1.51% Total : 49.9%	0-0 @ 13.44% 1-1 @ 12.47% 2-2 @ 2.89% Other @ 0.32% Total : 29.12%	0-1 @ 9.71% 1-2 @ 4.51% 0-2 @ 3.51% 1-3 @ 1.09% Other @ 2.16% Total : 20.96%