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PL
Champions League | Semi-Finals | 2nd Leg
May 7, 2025 at 8pm UK
Parc des Princes
AL

PSG
vs.
Arsenal

 
Coverage of the Champions League Semi-Finals clash between Paris Saint-Germain and Arsenal.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: PSG 1-3 Nice
Friday, April 25 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Next Game: Arsenal vs. PSG
Tuesday, April 29 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Arsenal 2-2 Crystal Palace
Wednesday, April 23 at 8pm in Premier League
Next Game: Arsenal vs. PSG
Tuesday, April 29 at 8pm in Champions League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats, suggests the most likely outcome of this match is a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 52.61%. A win for Arsenal has a probability of 24.94% and a draw has a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win is 2-1 with a probability of 9.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome are 1-0 (8.29%) and 2-0 (7.83%). The likeliest Arsenal win is 1-2 (6.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it is 1-1 (10.25%).

Result
Paris Saint-GermainDrawArsenal
52.61% (-3.913 -3.91) 22.44% (0.162 0.16) 24.94% (3.751 3.75)
Both teams to score 60.24% (4.337 4.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.44% (3.5 3.5)39.56% (-3.498 -3.5)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.1% (3.553 3.55)61.9% (-3.552 -3.55)
Paris Saint-Germain Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.87% (-0.084000000000003 -0.08)15.13% (0.084000000000001 0.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.3% (-0.154 -0.15)43.7% (0.156 0.16)
Arsenal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.99% (5.176 5.18)29.01% (-5.174 -5.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.08% (5.969 5.97)64.91% (-5.968 -5.97)
Score Analysis
    Paris Saint-Germain 52.61%
    Arsenal 24.94%
    Draw 22.44%
Paris Saint-GermainDrawArsenal
2-1 @ 9.69% (-0.217 -0.22)
1-0 @ 8.29% (-1.454 -1.45)
2-0 @ 7.83% (-1.399 -1.4)
3-1 @ 6.1% (-0.155 -0.15)
3-0 @ 4.93% (-0.898 -0.9)
3-2 @ 3.77% (0.418 0.42)
4-1 @ 2.88% (-0.082 -0.08)
4-0 @ 2.33% (-0.432 -0.43)
4-2 @ 1.78% (0.192 0.19)
5-1 @ 1.09% (-0.035 -0.04)
Other @ 3.94%
Total : 52.61%
1-1 @ 10.25% (-0.2 -0.2)
2-2 @ 5.99% (0.678 0.68)
0-0 @ 4.39% (-0.755 -0.76)
3-3 @ 1.56% (0.356 0.36)
Other @ 0.25%
Total : 22.44%
1-2 @ 6.35% (0.735 0.74)
0-1 @ 5.43% (-0.089 -0.09)
0-2 @ 3.36% (0.398 0.4)
1-3 @ 2.62% (0.61 0.61)
2-3 @ 2.47% (0.571 0.57)
0-3 @ 1.39% (0.326 0.33)
Other @ 3.33%
Total : 24.94%

Form Guide
Last Game: PSG 1-3 Nice
Friday, April 25 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Nantes 1-1 PSG
Tuesday, April 22 at 7.45pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: PSG 2-1 Le Havre
Saturday, April 19 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Aston Villa 3-2 PSG
Tuesday, April 15 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: PSG 3-1 Aston Villa
Wednesday, April 9 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: PSG 1-0 Angers
Saturday, April 5 at 4pm in Ligue 1
Last Game: Arsenal 2-2 Crystal Palace
Wednesday, April 23 at 8pm in Premier League
Last Game: Ipswich 0-4 Arsenal
Sunday, April 20 at 2pm in Premier League
Last Game: Real Madrid 1-2 Arsenal
Wednesday, April 16 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Arsenal 1-1 Brentford
Saturday, April 12 at 5.30pm in Premier League
Last Game: Arsenal 3-0 Real Madrid
Tuesday, April 8 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Everton 1-1 Arsenal
Saturday, April 5 at 12.30pm in Premier League


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