Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 66.66%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Aston Villa had a probability of 15.14%.
The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.34%) and 1-0 (7.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.23%), while for an Aston Villa win it was 1-2 (4.26%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Paris Saint-Germain would win this match.
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