SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ferencvaros win with a probability of 43.06%. A win for Qarabag FK had a probability of 33.93% and a draw had a probability of 23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Ferencvaros win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.62%) and 0-2 (5.77%). The likeliest Qarabag FK win was 2-1 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
| Result | ||
| Qarabag FK | Draw | Ferencvaros |
33.93% ( -0.42) | 23% ( 0.02) | 43.06% ( 0.4) |
| Both teams to score 64.59% ( -0.2) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.46% ( -0.21) | 36.54% ( 0.21) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.31% ( -0.23) | 58.69% ( 0.23) |
| Qarabag FK Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 78.28% ( -0.31) | 21.71% ( 0.32) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 45.12% ( -0.48) | 54.87% ( 0.49) |
| Ferencvaros Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 82.5% ( 0.08) | 17.49% ( -0.07) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 52.01% ( 0.13) | 47.99% ( -0.13) |
| Score Analysis |
| Qarabag FK | Draw | Ferencvaros |
| 2-1 @ 7.72% ( -0.05) 1-0 @ 5.8% ( 0)2-0 @ 4.43% ( -0.04)3-1 @ 3.93% ( -0.06)3-2 @ 3.43% ( -0.05)3-0 @ 2.26% ( -0.04)4-1 @ 1.5% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 1.31% ( -0.03)Other @ 3.56% Total : 33.93% | 1-1 @ 10.11% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 6.73% ( -0.02)0-0 @ 3.8% ( 0.04)3-3 @ 1.99% ( -0.02)Other @ 0.37% Total : 23% | 1-2 @ 8.82% ( 0.05) 0-1 @ 6.62% ( 0.09)0-2 @ 5.77% ( 0.09)1-3 @ 5.12% ( 0.04)2-3 @ 3.91% ( -0)0-3 @ 3.35% ( 0.06)1-4 @ 2.23% ( 0.02)2-4 @ 1.71% ( 0)0-4 @ 1.46% ( 0.03)Other @ 4.06% Total : 43.06% |
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