RB Leipzig
2 - 2
PSG

Nkunku (8'), Szoboszlai (90+2' pen.)
Adams (25'), Marsch (30'), Simakan (69'), Poulsen (90+5')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Wijnaldum (21', 39')
Pereira (10'), Kimpembe (32'), Mendes (62'), Neymar (74'), Donnarumma (90+1'), Herrera (90+5')

Build‑up

The Match

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Paris Saint-Germain win with a probability of 53.33%. A win for RB Leipzig had a probability of 23.36% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Paris Saint-Germain win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.78%) and 0-2 (8.91%). The likeliest RB Leipzig win was 1-0 (6.18%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
RB Leipzig	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain
23.36%	23.31%	53.33%

Both teams to score 55.4%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.88%

45.12%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.53%

67.46%

RB Leipzig Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.65%

33.35%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.02%

69.97%

Paris Saint-Germain Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.13%

16.87%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.1%

46.9%

Score Analysis

RB Leipzig 23.36%

Paris Saint-Germain 53.33%

Draw 23.31%

RB Leipzig	Draw	Paris Saint-Germain
1-0 @ 6.18% 2-1 @ 6.04% 2-0 @ 3.39% 3-1 @ 2.21% 3-2 @ 1.97% 3-0 @ 1.24% Other @ 2.33% Total : 23.36%	1-1 @ 10.99% 0-0 @ 5.63% 2-2 @ 5.37% 3-3 @ 1.17% Other @ 0.15% Total : 23.31%	0-1 @ 10.01% 1-2 @ 9.78% 0-2 @ 8.91% 1-3 @ 5.8% 0-3 @ 5.29% 2-3 @ 3.19% 1-4 @ 2.58% 0-4 @ 2.35% 2-4 @ 1.42% 1-5 @ 0.92% Other @ 3.08% Total : 53.33%