SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barcelona win with a probability of 63.91%. A draw had a probability of 21.4% and a win for Viktoria Plzen had a probability of 14.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barcelona win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (12.32%) and 1-2 (9.67%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.13%), while for a Viktoria Plzen win it was 1-0 (5.31%). The actual scoreline of 2-4 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Barcelona would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Viktoria Plzen | Draw | Barcelona |
14.7% ( 0.04) | 21.39% ( -0.01) | 63.91% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 46.31% ( 0.12) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 50.47% ( 0.1) | 49.53% ( -0.1) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 28.44% ( 0.09) | 71.56% ( -0.09) |
| Viktoria Plzen Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 54.37% ( 0.12) | 45.62% ( -0.12) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 18.57% ( 0.1) | 81.42% ( -0.1) |
| Barcelona Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 85.16% ( 0.02) | 14.83% ( -0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 56.86% ( 0.05) | 43.14% ( -0.05) |
| Score Analysis |
| Viktoria Plzen | Draw | Barcelona |
| 1-0 @ 5.31% ( -0.01) 2-1 @ 3.98% ( 0.01)2-0 @ 2.08% ( 0.01)3-1 @ 1.04% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 0.99% ( 0.01)Other @ 1.3% Total : 14.7% | 1-1 @ 10.13% 0-0 @ 6.77% ( -0.03)2-2 @ 3.79% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.69% Total : 21.39% | 0-1 @ 12.91% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 12.32% ( -0.03)1-2 @ 9.67% ( 0.01)0-3 @ 7.84% ( -0.01)1-3 @ 6.15% ( 0.01)0-4 @ 3.74% ( -0)1-4 @ 2.94% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.41% ( 0.01)0-5 @ 1.43% ( -0)2-4 @ 1.15% ( 0.01)1-5 @ 1.12% ( 0)Other @ 2.23% Total : 63.9% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
