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BC
Championship | Gameweek 39
Apr 2, 2021 at 3pm UK
Ashton Gate Stadium
SL

Bristol City
0 - 2
Stoke


Lansbury (14')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Powell (25'), Fletcher (62')
Brown (55')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 44.55%. A draw had a probability of 29.2% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 26.21%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.25%) and 1-2 (8.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.1%), while for a Bristol City win it was 1-0 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.

Result
Bristol CityDrawStoke City
26.21%29.23%44.55%
Both teams to score 41.32%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.27%64.73%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.3%83.7%
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
58.28%41.72%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.81%78.19%
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.9%29.1%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.98%65.02%
Score Analysis
    Bristol City 26.21%
    Stoke City 44.55%
    Draw 29.23%
Bristol CityDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 10.61%
2-1 @ 5.73%
2-0 @ 4.64%
3-1 @ 1.67%
3-0 @ 1.35%
3-2 @ 1.03%
Other @ 1.18%
Total : 26.21%
1-1 @ 13.1%
0-0 @ 12.14%
2-2 @ 3.54%
Other @ 0.45%
Total : 29.23%
0-1 @ 14.98%
0-2 @ 9.25%
1-2 @ 8.09%
0-3 @ 3.81%
1-3 @ 3.33%
2-3 @ 1.45%
0-4 @ 1.17%
1-4 @ 1.03%
Other @ 1.45%
Total : 44.55%

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