This is a fixture with two evenly-matched sides who have collected regular points of late, making this a difficult match to predict. However, with Boro now three games without success on their travels, we are backing Cardiff to edge this contest by the odd goal in three.
Read more.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 45.86%. A win for Cardiff City had a probability of 29.87% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.29%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.9%) and 0-2 (7.28%). The likeliest Cardiff City win was 2-1 (7.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Middlesbrough would win this match.
0.2) 
-0.22) 
