Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 43.91%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 28.74% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (8.38%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (9.55%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood.

Result
Cardiff City	Draw	Stoke City
43.91%	27.35%	28.74%

Both teams to score 47.74%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.6%

57.39%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.79%

78.21%

Cardiff City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.03%

25.96%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.02%

60.97%

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.49%

35.51%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.72%

72.27%

Score Analysis

Cardiff City 43.91%

Stoke City 28.74%

Draw 27.34%

Cardiff City	Draw	Stoke City
1-0 @ 12.43% 2-1 @ 8.68% 2-0 @ 8.38% 3-1 @ 3.9% 3-0 @ 3.77% 3-2 @ 2.02% 4-1 @ 1.32% 4-0 @ 1.27% Other @ 2.14% Total : 43.91%	1-1 @ 12.87% 0-0 @ 9.22% 2-2 @ 4.49% Other @ 0.76% Total : 27.34%	0-1 @ 9.55% 1-2 @ 6.66% 0-2 @ 4.94% 1-3 @ 2.3% 0-3 @ 1.71% 2-3 @ 1.55% Other @ 2.03% Total : 28.74%