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Championship | Gameweek 31
Feb 11, 2023 at 3pm UK
Ricoh Arena
LT

Coventry
1 - 1
Luton

Godden (45+1' pen.)
Wilson-Esbrand (80'), McFadzean (86')
Wilson-Esbrand (85')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Lockyer (1')
Burke (44'), Osho (45'), Bell (64'), Morris (86')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Coventry City 1-1 Luton Town

Having been stunned by Grimsby in the FA Cup, Luton's season could now go several ways. For now, though, Edwards will want to steady the ship, and we feel that the visitors will be more than content with a point if it becomes a possibility on Saturday. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 36.74%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 35.26% and a draw had a probability of 28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.35%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.83%) and 2-0 (6.76%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 0-1 (11.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Coventry CityDrawLuton Town
36.74% (0.065999999999995 0.07) 28% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01) 35.26% (-0.052999999999997 -0.05)
Both teams to score 47.77% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.72% (0.040000000000006 0.04)58.28% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.09% (0.030999999999999 0.03)78.91% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)
Coventry City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.58% (0.060000000000002 0.06)30.42% (-0.059000000000001 -0.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.38% (0.070999999999998 0.07)66.62% (-0.070000000000007 -0.07)
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.65% (-0.013999999999996 -0.01)31.35% (0.016000000000002 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.28% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)67.72% (0.019000000000005 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Coventry City 36.74%
    Luton Town 35.26%
    Draw 28%
Coventry CityDrawLuton Town
1-0 @ 11.35% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.83% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.76% (0.013 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.11% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.68% (0.01 0.01)
3-2 @ 1.8% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-1 @ 0.93% (0.005 0.01)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 36.74%
1-1 @ 13.16%
0-0 @ 9.54% (-0.014000000000001 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.54% (0.0040000000000004 0)
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 28%
0-1 @ 11.06% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 7.64% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
0-2 @ 6.41% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
1-3 @ 2.95% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 2.48% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.76% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 35.26%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: West Brom 1-0 Coventry
Friday, February 3 at 8pm in Championship
Last Game: Coventry 2-0 Huddersfield
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Coventry 2-4 Norwich
Saturday, January 21 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Burnley 1-0 Coventry
Saturday, January 14 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Coventry 3-4 Wrexham
Saturday, January 7 at 5.30pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Coventry 1-1 Bristol City
Sunday, January 1 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Grimsby Town 3-0 Luton
Tuesday, February 7 at 7.45pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Luton 1-0 Stoke
Saturday, February 4 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 1-0 Cardiff
Tuesday, January 31 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Luton 2-2 Grimsby Town
Saturday, January 28 at 3pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Wigan 0-2 Luton
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Wigan 1-2 Luton
Tuesday, January 17 at 7.45pm in FA Cup


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