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Championship | Gameweek 31
Feb 8, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Pride Park
HL

Derby
3 - 1
Hull City

Forsyth (19'), Lawrence (38'), Ebosele (47')
Bielik (53'), Bird (90+4')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Forsyth (65' og.)
Docherty (17'), Greaves (21'), Honeyman (89')

We said: Derby County 1-1 Hull City

This is a huge game for Derby, who need to return to winning ways as soon as possible if they are to move closer to safety. Hull's recent form has been impressive, though, and we believe that the two sides could end up cancelling each other out in a low-scoring draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 37.92%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 33.29% and a draw had a probability of 28.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.77%) and 0-2 (7.24%). The likeliest Derby County win was 1-0 (11.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.33%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result
Derby CountyDrawHull City
33.29%28.78%37.92%
Both teams to score 45.32%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
38.8%61.2%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
18.86%81.14%
Derby County Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.82%34.17%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.13%70.87%
Hull City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.85%31.15%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.51%67.48%
Score Analysis
    Derby County 33.3%
    Hull City 37.92%
    Draw 28.77%
Derby CountyDrawHull City
1-0 @ 11.43%
2-1 @ 7.16%
2-0 @ 6.14%
3-1 @ 2.56%
3-0 @ 2.2%
3-2 @ 1.49%
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 33.3%
1-1 @ 13.33%
0-0 @ 10.64%
2-2 @ 4.17%
Other @ 0.63%
Total : 28.77%
0-1 @ 12.41%
1-2 @ 7.77%
0-2 @ 7.24%
1-3 @ 3.02%
0-3 @ 2.82%
2-3 @ 1.62%
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 37.92%

Read more!
Read more!


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