Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hull City win with a probability of 51.52%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 25.35% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Hull City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.98%) and 2-0 (8.09%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 1-2 (6.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.75%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Hull City | Draw | Swansea City |
51.52% ( 0.03) | 23.13% ( 0.01) | 25.35% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 58.27% ( -0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
57.64% ( -0.07) | 42.36% ( 0.07) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
35.23% ( -0.07) | 64.77% ( 0.07) |
Hull City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.48% ( -0.01) | 16.52% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.74% ( -0.02) | 46.26% ( 0.02) |
Swansea City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.8% ( -0.07) | 30.2% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.64% ( -0.08) | 66.36% ( 0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Hull City | Draw | Swansea City |
2-1 @ 9.68% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.98% ( 0.03) 2-0 @ 8.09% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.81% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.86% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 3.48% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.62% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.19% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.57% ( -0) 5-1 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 3.31% Total : 51.52% | 1-1 @ 10.75% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.8% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 4.99% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.2% Total : 23.13% | 1-2 @ 6.44% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 5.97% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 3.58% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.31% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.43% ( -0) Other @ 3.05% Total : 25.35% |
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