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LT
Championship | Gameweek 16
Nov 2, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Kenilworth Road
ML

Luton
3 - 1
Middlesbrough

Bradley (57'), Adebayo (60'), Cornick (62')
Potts (30'), Bree (31'), Onyedinma (70'), Lansbury (79')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Coburn (15')
Crooks (39'), Coburn (59'), Watmore (74')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 38.15%. A win for Luton Town had a probability of 33.26% and a draw had a probability of 28.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.86%) and 0-2 (7.25%). The likeliest Luton Town win was 1-0 (11.24%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.29%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.

Result
Luton TownDrawMiddlesbrough
33.26%28.57%38.15%
Both teams to score 45.88%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
39.49%60.5%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.38%80.62%
Luton Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.16%33.83%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.5%70.49%
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.34%30.65%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.09%66.9%
Score Analysis
    Luton Town 33.26%
    Middlesbrough 38.15%
    Draw 28.58%
Luton TownDrawMiddlesbrough
1-0 @ 11.24%
2-1 @ 7.2%
2-0 @ 6.09%
3-1 @ 2.6%
3-0 @ 2.2%
3-2 @ 1.54%
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 33.26%
1-1 @ 13.29%
0-0 @ 10.37%
2-2 @ 4.26%
Other @ 0.66%
Total : 28.58%
0-1 @ 12.26%
1-2 @ 7.86%
0-2 @ 7.25%
1-3 @ 3.1%
0-3 @ 2.86%
2-3 @ 1.68%
1-4 @ 0.92%
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 38.15%

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