Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Watford win with a probability of 43.57%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 28.99% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Watford win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.43%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.63%) and 0-2 (8.32%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 1-0 (9.64%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.9% likelihood.
