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ML
Championship | Gameweek 14
Oct 23, 2021 at 3pm UK
The Den
SL

Millwall
2 - 1
Stoke

Bradshaw (51', 61')
Malone (32'), Smith (84')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Sawyers (20')
Souttar (45+1')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 35.89%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 35.73% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.54%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.63%) and 2-0 (6.65%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 0-1 (11.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.26%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Millwall would win this match.

Result
MillwallDrawStoke City
35.89%28.37%35.73%
Both teams to score 46.69%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.39%59.61%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
20.06%79.94%
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.38%31.62%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.97%68.02%
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.28%31.72%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.86%68.14%
Score Analysis
    Millwall 35.88%
    Stoke City 35.73%
    Draw 28.36%
MillwallDrawStoke City
1-0 @ 11.54%
2-1 @ 7.63%
2-0 @ 6.65%
3-1 @ 2.93%
3-0 @ 2.55%
3-2 @ 1.68%
Other @ 2.9%
Total : 35.88%
1-1 @ 13.26%
0-0 @ 10.02%
2-2 @ 4.38%
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 28.36%
0-1 @ 11.51%
1-2 @ 7.61%
0-2 @ 6.61%
1-3 @ 2.91%
0-3 @ 2.53%
2-3 @ 1.68%
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 35.73%

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