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ML
Championship | Gameweek 40
Jun 30, 2020 at 5pm UK
The Den
SL

Millwall
1 - 1
Swansea

Bennett (21')
Hutchinson (5'), Wallace (70')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Bialkowski (66' og.)
Byers (25')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 39.39%. A win for Swansea City had a probability of 34.35% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.5%) and 2-0 (6.78%). The likeliest Swansea City win was 0-1 (9.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.48%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.

Result
MillwallDrawSwansea City
39.39%26.26%34.35%
Both teams to score 53.14%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.53%51.47%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.72%73.28%
Millwall Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.37%25.63%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.47%60.53%
Swansea City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.45%28.55%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.66%64.34%
Score Analysis
    Millwall 39.39%
    Swansea City 34.35%
    Draw 26.25%
MillwallDrawSwansea City
1-0 @ 9.96%
2-1 @ 8.5%
2-0 @ 6.78%
3-1 @ 3.86%
3-0 @ 3.08%
3-2 @ 2.42%
4-1 @ 1.31%
4-0 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 39.39%
1-1 @ 12.48%
0-0 @ 7.32%
2-2 @ 5.33%
3-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.25%
0-1 @ 9.17%
1-2 @ 7.83%
0-2 @ 5.75%
1-3 @ 3.27%
0-3 @ 2.4%
2-3 @ 2.23%
1-4 @ 1.03%
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 34.35%


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