Stoke have reached a point in their campaign where they may as well throw caution to the wind, and that should reflect in their performance on Saturday. Peterborough, on the other end, may place slightly more focus on avoiding defeat, something which may only inviting pressure in the closing stages. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 51.08%. A draw had a probability of 25.8% and a win for Peterborough United had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.95%) and 1-2 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.18%), while for a Peterborough United win it was 1-0 (7.99%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.

Result
Peterborough United	Draw	Stoke City
23.1%	25.82%	51.08%

Both teams to score 47.46%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.53%

55.47%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.34%

76.66%

Peterborough United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.66%

39.34%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.96%

76.04%

Stoke City Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.23%

21.77%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.04%

54.95%

Score Analysis

Peterborough United 23.1%

Stoke City 51.07%

Draw 25.82%

Peterborough United	Draw	Stoke City
1-0 @ 7.99% 2-1 @ 5.68% 2-0 @ 3.73% 3-1 @ 1.77% 3-2 @ 1.35% 3-0 @ 1.16% Other @ 1.43% Total : 23.1%	1-1 @ 12.18% 0-0 @ 8.56% 2-2 @ 4.33% Other @ 0.75% Total : 25.82%	0-1 @ 13.05% 0-2 @ 9.95% 1-2 @ 9.29% 0-3 @ 5.06% 1-3 @ 4.72% 2-3 @ 2.2% 0-4 @ 1.93% 1-4 @ 1.8% Other @ 3.07% Total : 51.07%