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Championship | Gameweek 32
Feb 14, 2024 at 7.45pm UK
Deepdale
ML

Preston
2 - 1
Middlesbrough

Millar (23'), Riis Jakobsen (60')
Storey (86'), Browne (90+2')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Azaz (57')
McGree (90+6')

Form, Standings, Stats

We said: Preston North End 1-1 Middlesbrough

With momentum in their favour, Preston are justifiably favourites to come through this contest on home territory. However, Boro are in a position where they need a response, and we are backing Carrick's side to deliver, even if it is only in the form of a draw. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Middlesbrough win with a probability of 42.89%. A win for Preston North End had a probability of 32.94% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Middlesbrough win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.07%) and 0-2 (6.5%). The likeliest Preston North End win was 2-1 (7.72%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.7% likelihood.

Result
Preston North EndDrawMiddlesbrough
32.94% (-0.148 -0.15) 24.16% (0.208 0.21) 42.89% (-0.059000000000005 -0.06)
Both teams to score 59.94% (-0.81 -0.81)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.52% (-1.035 -1.04)42.48% (1.037 1.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.11% (-1.041 -1.04)64.88% (1.045 1.05)
Preston North End Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.91% (-0.584 -0.58)25.08% (0.585 0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.23% (-0.816 -0.82)59.77% (0.817 0.82)
Middlesbrough Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80% (-0.45399999999999 -0.45)19.99% (0.455 0.45)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.82% (-0.736 -0.74)52.18% (0.738 0.74)
Score Analysis
    Preston North End 32.94%
    Middlesbrough 42.9%
    Draw 24.16%
Preston North EndDrawMiddlesbrough
2-1 @ 7.72% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-0 @ 6.94% (0.203 0.2)
2-0 @ 4.8% (0.061 0.06)
3-1 @ 3.56% (-0.066 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.87% (-0.094 -0.09)
3-0 @ 2.21% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.23% (-0.044 -0.04)
4-2 @ 0.99% (-0.05 -0.05)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 32.94%
1-1 @ 11.16% (0.17 0.17)
2-2 @ 6.21% (-0.098 -0.1)
0-0 @ 5.02% (0.228 0.23)
3-3 @ 1.54% (-0.074 -0.07)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 24.16%
1-2 @ 8.99% (0.012 0.01)
0-1 @ 8.07% (0.257 0.26)
0-2 @ 6.5% (0.117 0.12)
1-3 @ 4.82% (-0.062 -0.06)
0-3 @ 3.49% (0.014 0.01)
2-3 @ 3.33% (-0.101 -0.1)
1-4 @ 1.94% (-0.054 -0.05)
0-4 @ 1.4% (-0.014 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.34% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 3.01%
Total : 42.9%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Cardiff 0-2 Preston
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Preston 3-2 Ipswich
Saturday, February 3 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 1-1 Preston
Saturday, January 27 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Leeds 2-1 Preston
Sunday, January 21 at 12pm in Championship
Last Game: Preston 2-0 Bristol City
Saturday, January 13 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Chelsea 4-0 Preston
Saturday, January 6 at 5.30pm in FA Cup
Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-2 Bristol City
Saturday, February 10 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-1 Sunderland
Sunday, February 4 at 12pm in Championship
Last Game: Chelsea 6-1 Middlesbrough
Tuesday, January 23 at 8pm in EFL Cup
Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-1 Rotherham
Saturday, January 20 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Millwall 1-3 Middlesbrough
Saturday, January 13 at 3.15pm in Championship
Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-0 Chelsea
Tuesday, January 9 at 8pm in EFL Cup


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