Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 55.11%. A draw had a probability of 24.9% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 19.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.98%) and 2-1 (9.42%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.71%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (7.28%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 11% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Stoke City would win this match.
