MX23RW : Thursday, March 28 22:46:37
SM
Thursday, March 28
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SL
Championship | Gameweek 23
Jan 2, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Bet365 Stadium
BL

Stoke
0 - 1
Bournemouth


Thompson (57'), Chester (58'), McClean (73'), Souttar (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Stanislas (79')
Lerma (90+2')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 44.01%. A win for Stoke City had a probability of 28.96% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.77%) and 0-2 (8.28%). The likeliest Stoke City win was 1-0 (9.31%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Bournemouth in this match.

Result
Stoke CityDrawBournemouth
28.96%27.04%44.01%
Both teams to score 48.75%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.84%56.16%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.78%77.22%
Stoke City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.32%34.68%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.59%71.41%
Bournemouth Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.64%25.36%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.85%60.15%
Score Analysis
    Stoke City 28.96%
    Bournemouth 44%
    Draw 27.03%
Stoke CityDrawBournemouth
1-0 @ 9.31%
2-1 @ 6.77%
2-0 @ 4.93%
3-1 @ 2.39%
3-0 @ 1.74%
3-2 @ 1.64%
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 28.96%
1-1 @ 12.77%
0-0 @ 8.79%
2-2 @ 4.64%
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.03%
0-1 @ 12.06%
1-2 @ 8.77%
0-2 @ 8.28%
1-3 @ 4.01%
0-3 @ 3.79%
2-3 @ 2.12%
1-4 @ 1.38%
0-4 @ 1.3%
Other @ 2.3%
Total : 44%

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Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
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