Although Sunderland will look to utilise home advantage, we think that they will have to settle for a point against a side they have not beaten since 2012.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 53.7%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Queens Park Rangers had a probability of 20.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.96%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.22%) and 2-1 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.04%), while for a Queens Park Rangers win it was 0-1 (8.03%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.