A closely-fought contest between two evenly-matched sides is set to take place this weekend, with Sunderland looking to end a poor run of form in front of over 35,000 fans at the Stadium of Light.
Wigan will be motivated by the prospect of climbing into the playoffs with a victory, but we can see the hosts earning a hard-fought draw on this occasion.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sunderland win with a probability of 48.83%. A draw had a probability of 26.7% and a win for Wigan Athletic had a probability of 24.45%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sunderland win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.4%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.65%) and 2-1 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.52%), while for a Wigan Athletic win it was 0-1 (8.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sunderland would win this match.
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