SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Swansea City win with a probability of 46.33%. A win for Watford had a probability of 27.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Swansea City win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.99%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.28%). The likeliest Watford win was 0-1 (8.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.1% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Swansea City | Draw | Watford |
46.33% ( 0.1) | 25.68% ( -0.27) | 27.99% ( 0.18) |
| Both teams to score 52.21% ( 0.96) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 48.59% ( 1.2) | 51.41% ( -1.2) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 26.78% ( 1.03) | 73.23% ( -1.03) |
| Swansea City Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 77.83% ( 0.55) | 22.18% ( -0.55) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 44.43% ( 0.82) | 55.58% ( -0.82) |
| Watford Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.08% ( 0.77) | 32.92% ( -0.77) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.5% ( 0.85) | 69.5% ( -0.85) |
| Score Analysis |
| Swansea City | Draw | Watford |
| 1-0 @ 10.99% ( -0.35) 2-1 @ 9.2% ( 0.06)2-0 @ 8.28% ( -0.12)3-1 @ 4.62% ( 0.1)3-0 @ 4.16% ( 0.01)3-2 @ 2.57% ( 0.11)4-1 @ 1.74% ( 0.07)4-0 @ 1.57% ( 0.03)4-2 @ 0.97% ( 0.06)Other @ 2.24% Total : 46.32% | 1-1 @ 12.21% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 7.3% ( -0.36)2-2 @ 5.11% ( 0.14)3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.06)Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.68% | 0-1 @ 8.11% ( -0.22) 1-2 @ 6.79% ( 0.07)0-2 @ 4.51% ( -0.02)1-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.08)2-3 @ 1.89% ( 0.09)0-3 @ 1.67% ( 0.03)Other @ 2.51% Total : 27.99% |
ISOCountry Code:
Matched Country Groups:
