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Championship | Gameweek 24
Dec 26, 2023 at 3pm UK
The Hawthorns
NL

West Brom
1 - 0
Norwich

FT(HT: 0-0)

Sainz (30')
Sainz (33')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-0 West Brom
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 2-0 Huddersfield
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in Championship

We said: West Bromwich Albion 1-1 Norwich City

West Brom have struggled since the start of December with a tricky run of fixtures, but Corberan's Baggies are never pushovers at The Hawthorns under any circumstances. Norwich are beginning to display their top-six credentials as the likes of Rowe and Sainz get into their strides, and we expect the Canaries to pick up a point on Boxing Day. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Bromwich Albion win with a probability of 50.46%. A win for Norwich City had a probability of 25.68% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a West Bromwich Albion win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.63%) and 2-0 (8.34%). The likeliest Norwich City win was 0-1 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.23%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for West Bromwich Albion in this match.

Result
West Bromwich AlbionDrawNorwich City
50.46% (0.217 0.22) 23.86% (-0.085999999999999 -0.09) 25.68% (-0.13 -0.13)
Both teams to score 56.16% (0.154 0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.68% (0.261 0.26)45.32% (-0.261 -0.26)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.35% (0.25 0.25)67.65% (-0.25 -0.25)
West Bromwich Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.99% (0.184 0.18)18.01% (-0.182 -0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.11% (0.311 0.31)48.89% (-0.311 -0.31)
Norwich City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.49% (0.036000000000001 0.04)31.51% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.1% (0.039999999999999 0.04)67.9% (-0.040000000000006 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    West Bromwich Albion 50.46%
    Norwich City 25.68%
    Draw 23.85%
West Bromwich AlbionDrawNorwich City
1-0 @ 9.73% (-0.051 -0.05)
2-1 @ 9.63% (0.014999999999999 0.01)
2-0 @ 8.34% (0.004999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 5.5% (0.040999999999999 0.04)
3-0 @ 4.76% (0.031000000000001 0.03)
3-2 @ 3.18% (0.026 0.03)
4-1 @ 2.36% (0.032 0.03)
4-0 @ 2.04% (0.025 0.02)
4-2 @ 1.36% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 3.56%
Total : 50.46%
1-1 @ 11.23% (-0.049999999999999 -0.05)
0-0 @ 5.68% (-0.064 -0.06)
2-2 @ 5.56% (0.014 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.22% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 23.85%
0-1 @ 6.56% (-0.067 -0.07)
1-2 @ 6.49% (-0.021999999999999 -0.02)
0-2 @ 3.79% (-0.035 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.5% (-0.0059999999999998 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.14% (0.008 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.46% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 25.68%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Middlesbrough 1-0 West Brom
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 1-1 Stoke
Sunday, December 17 at 12pm in Championship
Last Game: Rotherham 0-2 West Brom
Tuesday, December 12 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Sunderland 2-1 West Brom
Saturday, December 9 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: West Brom 1-2 Leicester
Saturday, December 2 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Cardiff 0-1 West Brom
Tuesday, November 28 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 2-0 Huddersfield
Saturday, December 23 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Ipswich 2-2 Norwich
Saturday, December 16 at 12.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 3-1 Sheff Weds
Wednesday, December 13 at 7.45pm in Championship
Last Game: Norwich 0-0 Preston
Saturday, December 9 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Bristol City 1-2 Norwich
Sunday, December 3 at 1.30pm in Championship
Last Game: Watford 3-2 Norwich
Tuesday, November 28 at 8pm in Championship


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