SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 56.36%. A win for Zhejiang Professional had a probability of 22.46% and a draw had a probability of 21.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.9%) and 1-0 (7.7%). The likeliest Zhejiang Professional win was 1-2 (5.83%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.47%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shandong Taishan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shandong Taishan | Draw | Zhejiang Professional |
56.36% ( -0.08) | 21.18% ( 0.04) | 22.46% ( 0.04) |
| Both teams to score 61.7% ( -0.07) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 63.73% ( -0.13) | 36.27% ( 0.12) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.6% ( -0.14) | 58.39% ( 0.14) |
| Shandong Taishan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 87.17% ( -0.07) | 12.83% ( 0.06) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 60.82% ( -0.13) | 39.18% ( 0.13) |
| Zhejiang Professional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 70.78% ( -0.03) | 29.21% ( 0.03) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 34.83% ( -0.04) | 65.16% ( 0.04) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shandong Taishan | Draw | Zhejiang Professional |
| 2-1 @ 9.72% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.9% ( 0.01)1-0 @ 7.7% ( 0.03)3-1 @ 6.66% ( -0.01)3-0 @ 5.41% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 4.09% ( -0.01)4-1 @ 3.42% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 2.78% ( -0.01)4-2 @ 2.1% ( -0.01)5-1 @ 1.4% ( -0.01)5-0 @ 1.14% ( -0.01)Other @ 4.04% Total : 56.36% | 1-1 @ 9.47% ( 0.03) 2-2 @ 5.98% ( -0)0-0 @ 3.75% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.01)Other @ 0.29% Total : 21.18% | 1-2 @ 5.83% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 4.61% ( 0.02)0-2 @ 2.84% ( 0.01)2-3 @ 2.45% ( -0)1-3 @ 2.39% ( 0)0-3 @ 1.16% ( 0)Other @ 3.18% Total : 22.46% |
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