SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 58.23%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for Nantong Zhiyun had a probability of 19.46%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.06%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.57%), while for a Nantong Zhiyun win it was 0-1 (5.64%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shandong Taishan would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shandong Taishan | Draw | Nantong Zhiyun |
58.23% ( 0.27) | 22.31% ( -0.01) | 19.46% ( -0.26) |
| Both teams to score 53.05% ( -0.41) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 54.48% ( -0.32) | 45.52% ( 0.32) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 32.15% ( -0.31) | 67.85% ( 0.31) |
| Shandong Taishan Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 84.67% ( -0.02) | 15.33% ( 0.02) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 55.93% ( -0.04) | 44.07% ( 0.04) |
| Nantong Zhiyun Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 62.65% ( -0.47) | 37.35% ( 0.47) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 25.87% ( -0.46) | 74.13% ( 0.46) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shandong Taishan | Draw | Nantong Zhiyun |
| 1-0 @ 10.73% ( 0.14) 2-0 @ 10.06% ( 0.12)2-1 @ 9.92% ( -0)3-0 @ 6.3% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 6.2% ( -0.01)3-2 @ 3.05% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 2.95% ( 0.03)4-1 @ 2.91% ( -0)4-2 @ 1.43% ( -0.02)5-0 @ 1.11% ( 0.01)5-1 @ 1.09% ( -0)Other @ 2.47% Total : 58.21% | 1-1 @ 10.57% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.73% ( 0.08)2-2 @ 4.88% ( -0.06)3-3 @ 1% ( -0.03)Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.31% | 0-1 @ 5.64% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 5.21% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.03)1-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.04)2-3 @ 1.6% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.02)Other @ 1.62% Total : 19.46% |
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