SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shanghai Shenhua win with a probability of 71%. A draw had a probability of 17% and a win for Qingdao Youth Island had a probability of 12.01%.
The most likely scoreline for a Shanghai Shenhua win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.53%) and 1-0 (8.89%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.91%), while for a Qingdao Youth Island win it was 1-2 (3.51%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shanghai Shenhua would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Shanghai Shenhua | Draw | Qingdao Youth Island |
71% ( 0.29) | 16.99% ( -0.02) | 12.01% ( -0.28) |
| Both teams to score 53.6% ( -0.89) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 64.05% ( -0.69) | 35.95% ( 0.69) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 41.96% ( -0.76) | 58.04% ( 0.76) |
| Shanghai Shenhua Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 91.03% ( -0.11) | 8.97% ( 0.11) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 69.39% ( -0.27) | 30.61% ( 0.26) |
| Qingdao Youth Island Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 58.89% ( -0.91) | 41.11% ( 0.9) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.34% ( -0.81) | 77.66% ( 0.81) |
| Score Analysis |
| Shanghai Shenhua | Draw | Qingdao Youth Island |
| 2-0 @ 10.72% ( 0.26) 2-1 @ 9.53% ( -0)1-0 @ 8.89% ( 0.26)3-0 @ 8.62% ( 0.17)3-1 @ 7.66% ( -0.04)4-0 @ 5.19% ( 0.07)4-1 @ 4.62% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 3.4% ( -0.1)5-0 @ 2.5% ( 0.02)5-1 @ 2.23% ( -0.04)4-2 @ 2.05% ( -0.07)6-0 @ 1.01% ( 0)5-2 @ 0.99% ( -0.04)Other @ 3.59% Total : 71% | 1-1 @ 7.91% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 4.24% ( -0.11)0-0 @ 3.69% ( 0.13)3-3 @ 1.01% ( -0.06)Other @ 0.15% Total : 16.99% | 1-2 @ 3.51% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 3.28% ( 0.03)0-2 @ 1.46% ( -0.02)2-3 @ 1.26% ( -0.06)1-3 @ 1.04% ( -0.05)Other @ 1.47% Total : 12.01% |
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