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Chinese Super League | Gameweek 6
Aug 4, 2020 at 11am UK
Haihe Educational Football Stadium

Tianjin
1 - 3
Evergrande

Mary (53')
Lin (74')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Shihao (28'), Linpeng (38'), Paulinho (82')
Hongyang (7')
Coverage of the Chinese Super League clash between Tianjin Tianhai and Guangzhou.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Guangzhou Evergrande win with a probability of 48.15%. A win for Tianjin Tianhai had a probability of 28.77% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Guangzhou Evergrande win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.82%) and 0-2 (7.01%). The likeliest Tianjin Tianhai win was 2-1 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.47%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Guangzhou Evergrande would win this match.

Result
Tianjin TianhaiDrawGuangzhou
28.77%23.08%48.15%
Both teams to score 61.52%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.58%39.42%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.24%61.76%
Tianjin Tianhai Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.81%26.19%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.72%61.28%
Guangzhou Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.35%16.65%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.5%46.5%
Score Analysis
    Tianjin Tianhai 28.77%
    Guangzhou 48.15%
    Draw 23.08%
Tianjin TianhaiDrawGuangzhou
2-1 @ 7.02%
1-0 @ 5.84%
2-0 @ 3.91%
3-1 @ 3.13%
3-2 @ 2.81%
3-0 @ 1.75%
4-1 @ 1.05%
4-2 @ 0.94%
Other @ 2.31%
Total : 28.77%
1-1 @ 10.47%
2-2 @ 6.29%
0-0 @ 4.36%
3-3 @ 1.68%
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 23.08%
1-2 @ 9.39%
0-1 @ 7.82%
0-2 @ 7.01%
1-3 @ 5.61%
0-3 @ 4.19%
2-3 @ 3.76%
1-4 @ 2.52%
0-4 @ 1.88%
2-4 @ 1.69%
1-5 @ 0.9%
Other @ 3.4%
Total : 48.15%


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