SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Tigres win with a probability of 55.38%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Cruz Azul had a probability of 20.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Tigres win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.32%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.38%), while for a Cruz Azul win it was 0-1 (6.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Tigres | Draw | Cruz Azul |
55.38% ( 10.94) | 23.94% ( -2.85) | 20.67% ( -8.09) |
| Both teams to score 49.85% ( 0.48) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.27% ( 4.59) | 50.73% ( -4.59) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.37% ( 3.9) | 72.63% ( -3.91) |
| Tigres Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 81.81% ( 6.57) | 18.18% ( -6.57) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 50.82% ( 10.14) | 49.18% ( -10.14) |
| Cruz Azul Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 60.93% ( -4.69) | 39.07% ( 4.69) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 24.21% ( -4.7) | 75.79% ( 4.7) |
| Score Analysis |
| Tigres | Draw | Cruz Azul |
| 1-0 @ 12.11% ( 0.23) 2-0 @ 10.32% ( 2.02)2-1 @ 9.7% ( 0.85)3-0 @ 5.87% ( 2.01)3-1 @ 5.51% ( 1.39)3-2 @ 2.59% ( 0.39)4-0 @ 2.5% ( 1.15)4-1 @ 2.35% ( 0.91)4-2 @ 1.1% ( 0.34)Other @ 3.33% Total : 55.38% | 1-1 @ 11.38% ( -1.3) 0-0 @ 7.1% ( -1.41)2-2 @ 4.56% ( -0.17)Other @ 0.9% Total : 23.94% | 0-1 @ 6.68% ( -2.41) 1-2 @ 5.35% ( -1.42)0-2 @ 3.14% ( -1.71)1-3 @ 1.68% ( -0.74)2-3 @ 1.43% ( -0.25)0-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.74)Other @ 1.43% Total : 20.67% |
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