SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Haiti win with a probability of 53.73%. A win for Jamaica had a probability of 23.17% and a draw had a probability of 23.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Haiti win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.82%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.81%) and 2-0 (8.86%). The likeliest Jamaica win was 0-1 (6.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Haiti | Draw | Jamaica |
53.73% ( 2.14) | 23.09% ( -0.63) | 23.17% ( -1.51) |
| Both teams to score 55.91% ( 0.33) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.67% ( 1.26) | 44.33% ( -1.26) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.29% ( 1.21) | 66.7% ( -1.21) |
| Haiti Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 83.55% ( 1.24) | 16.44% ( -1.24) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 53.87% ( 2.2) | 46.13% ( -2.2) |
| Jamaica Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.92% ( -0.61) | 33.08% ( 0.61) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.32% ( -0.68) | 69.67% ( 0.68) |
| Score Analysis |
| Haiti | Draw | Jamaica |
| 1-0 @ 9.82% ( -0.13) 2-1 @ 9.81% ( 0.11)2-0 @ 8.86% ( 0.25)3-1 @ 5.9% ( 0.3)3-0 @ 5.33% ( 0.36)3-2 @ 3.26% ( 0.12)4-1 @ 2.66% ( 0.24)4-0 @ 2.41% ( 0.25)4-2 @ 1.47% ( 0.11)5-1 @ 0.96% ( 0.12)Other @ 3.24% Total : 53.73% | 1-1 @ 10.86% ( -0.33) 0-0 @ 5.44% ( -0.3)2-2 @ 5.42% ( -0.03)3-3 @ 1.2% ( 0.02)Other @ 0.16% Total : 23.09% | 0-1 @ 6.02% ( -0.44) 1-2 @ 6.01% ( -0.29)0-2 @ 3.33% ( -0.31)1-3 @ 2.22% ( -0.14)2-3 @ 2% ( -0.04)0-3 @ 1.23% ( -0.14)Other @ 2.38% Total : 23.17% |
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