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CONMEBOL Recopa | Final | 2nd Leg
Mar 1, 2024 at 12.30am UK
Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho

Fluminense
2 - 0
LDU Quito

Arias (76', 90' pen.)
Thiago (78'), Cano (90+4')
Kennedy (79'), Barbosa (90+3')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Quinteros (67'), Julio (78')
Gabbarini (0')
Coverage of the CONMEBOL Recopa Final clash between Fluminense and LDU Quito.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: LDU Quito 1-0 Fluminense
Friday, February 23 at 12.30am in CONMEBOL Recopa
Last Game: LDU Quito 1-0 Fluminense
Friday, February 23 at 12.30am in CONMEBOL Recopa

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 61.01%. A draw had a probability of 22.2% and a win for LDU Quito had a probability of 16.78%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.36%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.46%) and 2-1 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.55%), while for a LDU Quito win it was 0-1 (5.69%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fluminense would win this match.

Result
FluminenseDrawLDU Quito
61.01% (1.279 1.28) 22.21% (-0.569 -0.57) 16.78% (-0.711 -0.71)
Both teams to score 48.41% (0.328 0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.83% (1.178 1.18)49.17% (-1.179 -1.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.76% (1.055 1.06)71.24% (-1.056 -1.06)
Fluminense Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.35% (0.83799999999999 0.84)15.65% (-0.839 -0.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.32% (1.533 1.53)44.68% (-1.533 -1.53)
LDU Quito Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.39% (-0.184 -0.18)42.61% (0.182 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.04% (-0.156 -0.16)78.96% (0.15599999999999 0.16)
Score Analysis
    Fluminense 60.99%
    LDU Quito 16.78%
    Draw 22.2%
FluminenseDrawLDU Quito
1-0 @ 12.36% (-0.25 -0.25)
2-0 @ 11.46% (0.1 0.1)
2-1 @ 9.78% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
3-0 @ 7.09% (0.263 0.26)
3-1 @ 6.05% (0.195 0.2)
4-0 @ 3.29% (0.211 0.21)
4-1 @ 2.81% (0.167 0.17)
3-2 @ 2.58% (0.07 0.07)
5-0 @ 1.22% (0.111 0.11)
4-2 @ 1.2% (0.065 0.07)
5-1 @ 1.04% (0.089 0.09)
Other @ 2.12%
Total : 60.99%
1-1 @ 10.55% (-0.26 -0.26)
0-0 @ 6.67% (-0.328 -0.33)
2-2 @ 4.17% (-0.0029999999999992 -0)
Other @ 0.81%
Total : 22.2%
0-1 @ 5.69% (-0.309 -0.31)
1-2 @ 4.5% (-0.135 -0.14)
0-2 @ 2.43% (-0.144 -0.14)
1-3 @ 1.28% (-0.044 -0.04)
2-3 @ 1.19% (-0.0069999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 16.78%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: LDU Quito 1-0 Fluminense
Friday, February 23 at 12.30am in CONMEBOL Recopa
Last Game: Man City 4-0 Fluminense
Friday, December 22 at 6pm in Club World Cup
Last Game: Fluminense 2-0 Al Ahly
Monday, December 18 at 6pm in Club World Cup
Last Game: Fluminense 2-3 Gremio
Thursday, December 7 at 12.30am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Palmeiras 1-0 Fluminense
Sunday, December 3 at 7pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Santos 0-3 Fluminense
Wednesday, November 29 at 10pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: LDU Quito 1-0 Fluminense
Friday, February 23 at 12.30am in CONMEBOL Recopa
Last Game: Fortaleza 1-1 LDU Quito (3-4 pen.)
Saturday, October 28 at 9pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Defensa 0-0 LDU Quito
Wednesday, October 4 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: LDU Quito 3-0 Defensa
Wednesday, September 27 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: Sao Paulo 1-0 LDU Quito (4-5 pen.)
Thursday, August 31 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana
Last Game: LDU Quito 2-1 Sao Paulo
Thursday, August 24 at 11pm in Copa Sudamericana


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