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Copa America | Semi-Finals
Jul 7, 2021 at 2am UK
 
CN

Argentina
1 - 1
Colombia

Argentina win 3-2 on penalties
Martinez (7')
Lo Celso (21'), Montiel (72'), Rodriguez (87'), Pezzella (90+1')
FT
(aet)
Diaz (61')
Cuadrado (45+4'), Fabra (55'), Borja (63'), Munoz (75'), Cardona (86'), Barrios (88')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 39.8%. A win for Colombia had a probability of 34.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Colombia win was 0-1 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%).

Result
ArgentinaDrawColombia
39.8%25.45%34.74%
Both teams to score 55.91%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.06%47.94%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.89%70.11%
Argentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.18%23.82%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.01%57.99%
Colombia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.39%26.61%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.16%61.84%
Score Analysis
    Argentina 39.8%
    Colombia 34.74%
    Draw 25.45%
ArgentinaDrawColombia
1-0 @ 9.09%
2-1 @ 8.64%
2-0 @ 6.52%
3-1 @ 4.13%
3-0 @ 3.12%
3-2 @ 2.73%
4-1 @ 1.48%
4-0 @ 1.12%
4-2 @ 0.98%
Other @ 1.99%
Total : 39.8%
1-1 @ 12.03%
0-0 @ 6.34%
2-2 @ 5.72%
3-3 @ 1.21%
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.45%
0-1 @ 8.39%
1-2 @ 7.97%
0-2 @ 5.55%
1-3 @ 3.52%
2-3 @ 2.52%
0-3 @ 2.45%
1-4 @ 1.16%
Other @ 3.17%
Total : 34.74%

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