Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 39.8%. A win for Colombia had a probability of 34.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.5%.
The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.64%) and 2-0 (6.52%). The likeliest Colombia win was 0-1 (8.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.03%).