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Copa del Rey | Quarter-Finals
Feb 4, 2025 at 8.30pm UK
Estadio Civitas Metropolitano
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Atletico
5 - 0
Getafe

Simeone (8', 17'), Lino (42'), Correa (78'), Sorloth (86')
Gallagher (70')
FT(HT: 3-0)

Ugonna Uche (8'), Bekhoucha Lemlal (77')

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Getafe 0-0 Sevilla
Saturday, February 1 at 1pm in La Liga

We said: Atletico Madrid 1-0 Getafe

This could be a very tricky assignment for Atletico, as Getafe are in good form and do not concede many goals; that said, we are finding it difficult to back the visitors to triumph, with Simeone's side potentially running out 1-0 winners to advance to the next round. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Madrid win with a probability of 63.97%. A draw had a probability of 22.4% and a win for Getafe had a probability of 13.67%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Madrid win was 1-0 with a probability of 15.11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.52%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.3%), while for a Getafe win it was 0-1 (5.76%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atletico Madrid would win this match.

Result
Atletico MadridDrawGetafe
63.97% (-1.049 -1.05) 22.36% (0.223 0.22) 13.67% (0.826 0.83)
Both teams to score 41.19% (1.438 1.44)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.89% (0.744 0.74)55.11% (-0.743 -0.74)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.64% (0.609 0.61)76.36% (-0.60799999999999 -0.61)
Atletico Madrid Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.3% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)16.7% (0.096999999999998 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.41% (-0.172 -0.17)46.59% (0.173 0.17)
Getafe Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
49.45% (1.781 1.78)50.55% (-1.782 -1.78)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.96% (1.182 1.18)85.04% (-1.183 -1.18)
Score Analysis
    Atletico Madrid 63.97%
    Getafe 13.67%
    Draw 22.35%
Atletico MadridDrawGetafe
1-0 @ 15.11% (-0.49 -0.49)
2-0 @ 13.52% (-0.48 -0.48)
2-1 @ 9.22% (0.154 0.15)
3-0 @ 8.07% (-0.317 -0.32)
3-1 @ 5.5% (0.074 0.07)
4-0 @ 3.61% (-0.155 -0.16)
4-1 @ 2.46% (0.025 0.03)
3-2 @ 1.88% (0.119 0.12)
5-0 @ 1.29% (-0.06 -0.06)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 63.97%
1-1 @ 10.3% (0.2 0.2)
0-0 @ 8.44% (-0.246 -0.25)
2-2 @ 3.15% (0.21 0.21)
Other @ 0.46%
Total : 22.35%
0-1 @ 5.76% (0.133 0.13)
1-2 @ 3.52% (0.244 0.24)
0-2 @ 1.96% (0.142 0.14)
Other @ 2.44%
Total : 13.67%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Atletico 2-0 Mallorca
Saturday, February 1 at 5.30pm in La Liga
Last Game: Salzburg 1-4 Atletico
Wednesday, January 29 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Atletico 1-1 Villarreal
Saturday, January 25 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Atletico 2-1 B. Leverkusen
Tuesday, January 21 at 8pm in Champions League
Last Game: Leganes 1-0 Atletico
Saturday, January 18 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Elche 0-4 Atletico
Wednesday, January 15 at 8.30pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Getafe 0-0 Sevilla
Saturday, February 1 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Real Sociedad 0-3 Getafe
Sunday, January 26 at 3.15pm in La Liga
Last Game: Getafe 1-1 Barcelona
Saturday, January 18 at 8pm in La Liga
Last Game: Pontevedra 0-1 Getafe
Wednesday, January 15 at 6.30pm in Copa del Rey
Last Game: Las Palmas 1-2 Getafe
Sunday, January 12 at 1pm in La Liga
Last Game: Granada 0-1 Getafe
Friday, January 3 at 6pm in Copa del Rey


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