Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Osasuna win with a probability of 47.78%. A win for Ceuta had a probability of 28.23% and a draw had a probability of 24%.
The most likely scoreline for a Osasuna win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.02%) and 0-2 (7.6%). The likeliest Ceuta win was 2-1 (6.96%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Osasuna would win this match.
-1.37) 
1.81) 
