Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Madrid win with a probability of 80.92%. A draw had a probability of 13.2% and a win for Leganes had a probability of 5.91%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Madrid win was 0-2 with a probability of 14.34%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-3 (12.38%) and 0-1 (11.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.23%), while for a Leganes win it was 1-0 (2.4%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Real Madrid would win this match.
-0.21) 
0.69) 
