Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Palmeiras win with a probability of 43.27%. A win for Ceara had a probability of 29.45% and a draw had a probability of 27.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Palmeiras win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.15%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.65%) and 0-2 (8.18%). The likeliest Ceara win was 1-0 (9.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.87%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Palmeiras in this match.