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Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
Apr 27, 2021 at 11.15pm UK
Estádio Governador Magalhães Pinto

Atletico Mineiro
2 - 1
America

Hulk (59' pen., 63')
Alonso (46'), Hulk (85'), Rabello (90+6'), Franco (90+7')
Nathan (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Francisco Sanchez Mosquera (77')
Carrascal (36'), Orlando Andrade Murillo (45+1'), Arrieta (90+5')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 62.26%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for America de Cali had a probability of 13.86%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 16.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.92%) and 2-1 (8.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.61%), while for an America de Cali win it was 0-1 (6.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.

Result
Atletico MineiroDrawAmerica de Cali
62.26%23.88%13.86%
Both teams to score 37.87%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
40.07%59.93%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
19.81%80.19%
Atletico Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.92%19.08%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
49.31%50.69%
America de Cali Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
46.8%53.2%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
13.23%86.77%
Score Analysis
    Atletico Mineiro 62.25%
    America de Cali 13.86%
    Draw 23.88%
Atletico MineiroDrawAmerica de Cali
1-0 @ 16.81%
2-0 @ 13.92%
2-1 @ 8.79%
3-0 @ 7.69%
3-1 @ 4.85%
4-0 @ 3.18%
4-1 @ 2.01%
3-2 @ 1.53%
5-0 @ 1.06%
Other @ 2.4%
Total : 62.25%
1-1 @ 10.61%
0-0 @ 10.15%
2-2 @ 2.77%
Other @ 0.34%
Total : 23.88%
0-1 @ 6.41%
1-2 @ 3.35%
0-2 @ 2.02%
Other @ 2.08%
Total : 13.86%

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