MX23RW : Wednesday, August 10 08:29:14
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May 25, 2022 at 11pm UK at Estadio Monumental David Arellano
Colo-Colo
3 - 4
Fortaleza
Ceballos (45+1' og.), Pavez (65'), Gil (80')
Suazo (40'), Gutierrez (81'), Falcon (90+2')
Alejandro Rojas Orellana (51')
FT(HT: 1-2)
Romero (3'), Moises (25', 54'), Pikachu (61')
Ronald (45+4'), Felipe (58'), Lima (66'), Welison (79'), Robson (90+2'), Ceballos (90+5')

Form, Standings, Stats

:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Colo-Colo 3-4 Fortaleza
Wednesday, May 25 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Next Game: Colo-Colo vs. Internacional
Wednesday, June 29 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
:no data 356|l|156:DIVision:.!d!.:Sport:1:
Last Game: Fortaleza 1-1 Goias
Friday, June 10 at 12am in Brasileiro
Next Game: Fortaleza vs. Athletico PR
Sunday, June 12 at 11pm in Brasileiro

We said: Colo-Colo 2-1 Fortaleza

Fortaleza have done well to put themselves ahead in the fight for second spot, but they face a particularly tough test on Wednesday, and we see them falling short on their travels. Colo-Colo got the better of their opponents in Brazil and will fancy themselves to triumph again in such an important contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colo-Colo win with a probability of 45.61%. A win for Fortaleza had a probability of 32.44% and a draw had a probability of 22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Colo-Colo win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.71%) and 3-1 (5.59%). The likeliest Fortaleza win was 1-2 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.

Result
Colo-ColoDrawFortaleza
45.61%21.95% (0.0060000000000002 0.01) 32.44% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Both teams to score 68.03% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
68.19% (-0.019999999999996 -0.02)31.81% (0.023 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
46.66% (-0.025000000000006 -0.03)53.34% (0.027000000000001 0.03)
Colo-Colo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.33% (-0.0049999999999955 -0)14.68% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.16% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)42.84% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Fortaleza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.73% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)20.27% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.38% (-0.018999999999998 -0.02)52.62% (0.022000000000006 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Colo-Colo 45.61%
    Fortaleza 32.44%
    Draw 21.95%
Colo-ColoDrawFortaleza
2-1 @ 8.74% (0.0020000000000007 0)
1-0 @ 5.71% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-1 @ 5.59%
2-0 @ 5.48% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 4.46% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-0 @ 3.5% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-1 @ 2.68% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
4-2 @ 2.14% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
4-0 @ 1.68%
4-3 @ 1.14% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 1.03%
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 45.61%
1-1 @ 9.11% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.98% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 2.98% (0.004 0)
3-3 @ 2.37% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
Other @ 0.52%
Total : 21.95%
1-2 @ 7.27% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-1 @ 4.75% (0.0040000000000004 0)
1-3 @ 3.87% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-2 @ 3.79% (0.0020000000000002 0)
2-3 @ 3.71% (-0.0020000000000002 -0)
0-3 @ 2.02%
1-4 @ 1.54% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
2-4 @ 1.48% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
3-4 @ 0.95% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 3.07%
Total : 32.44%

Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: River Plate 4-0 Colo-Colo
Friday, May 20 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Alianza Lima 1-1 Colo-Colo
Friday, May 6 at 3am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Colo-Colo 1-2 River Plate
Thursday, April 28 at 1am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Colo-Colo 2-1 Alianza Lima
Wednesday, April 13 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Fortaleza 1-2 Colo-Colo
Thursday, April 7 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Colo-Colo 0-1 Wilstermann
Wednesday, October 21 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Fortaleza 0-1 Fluminense
Sunday, May 22 at 8pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Alianza Lima 0-2 Fortaleza
Thursday, May 19 at 3am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Botafogo 3-1 Fortaleza
Sunday, May 15 at 10pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fortaleza 1-1 Sao Paulo
Sunday, May 8 at 11pm in Brasileiro
Last Game: Fortaleza 1-1 River Plate
Thursday, May 5 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Corinthians 1-0 Fortaleza
Sunday, May 1 at 8pm in Brasileiro
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