Form, Standings, Stats
Wednesday, May 25 at 11pm in Copa Libertadores
Wednesday, June 29 at 1.30am in Copa Sudamericana
Friday, June 10 at 12am in Brasileiro
Sunday, June 12 at 11pm in Brasileiro
We said: Colo-Colo 2-1 FortalezaFortaleza have done well to put themselves ahead in the fight for second spot, but they face a particularly tough test on Wednesday, and we see them falling short on their travels. Colo-Colo got the better of their opponents in Brazil and will fancy themselves to triumph again in such an important contest. Read more.
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Colo-Colo win with a probability of 45.61%. A win for Fortaleza had a probability of 32.44% and a draw had a probability of 22%.
The most likely scoreline for a Colo-Colo win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (5.71%) and 3-1 (5.59%). The likeliest Fortaleza win was 1-2 (7.27%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.11%). The actual scoreline of 3-4 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood.
|45.61%||21.95% ( 0.01)||32.44% ( -0)|
|Both teams to score 68.03% ( -0.02)|
|Over 2.5||Under 2.5|