Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 48.13%. A win for Colo-Colo had a probability of 27.97% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.01%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest Colo-Colo win was 2-1 (6.92%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.16%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for River Plate in this match.
