SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Defensor Sporting win with a probability of 44.04%. A win for Monagas had a probability of 29.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Defensor Sporting win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.9%) and 2-0 (8.04%). The likeliest Monagas win was 0-1 (8.9%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.58%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Defensor Sporting | Draw | Monagas |
44.04% ( -0.29) | 26.49% ( 0.32) | 29.47% ( -0.03) |
| Both teams to score 50.65% ( -0.99) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 46.15% ( -1.27) | 53.85% ( 1.27) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 24.68% ( -1.08) | 75.32% ( 1.08) |
| Defensor Sporting Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 75.69% ( -0.7) | 24.31% ( 0.7) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.31% ( -1) | 58.69% ( 1) |
| Monagas Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 66.92% ( -0.68) | 33.08% ( 0.68) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 30.33% ( -0.76) | 69.67% ( 0.77) |
| Score Analysis |
| Defensor Sporting | Draw | Monagas |
| 1-0 @ 11.37% ( 0.33) 2-1 @ 8.9% ( -0.08)2-0 @ 8.04% ( 0.07)3-1 @ 4.19% ( -0.13)3-0 @ 3.79% ( -0.04)3-2 @ 2.32% ( -0.12)4-1 @ 1.48% ( -0.08)4-0 @ 1.34% ( -0.04)Other @ 2.6% Total : 44.04% | 1-1 @ 12.58% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 8.04% ( 0.39)2-2 @ 4.92% ( -0.14)Other @ 0.95% Total : 26.49% | 0-1 @ 8.9% ( 0.28) 1-2 @ 6.96% ( -0.06)0-2 @ 4.92% ( 0.06)1-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.07)0-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.01)2-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.09)Other @ 2.5% Total : 29.47% |
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