SM
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a El Nacional win with a probability of 49.59%. A win for Blooming had a probability of 25.46% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a El Nacional win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.85%). The likeliest Blooming win was 0-1 (7.43%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that El Nacional would win this match.
| Result | ||
| El Nacional | Draw | Blooming |
49.59% ( -0.3) | 24.95% ( 0.05) | 25.46% ( 0.25) |
| Both teams to score 52.42% ( 0.08) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 49.85% ( -0.01) | 50.14% ( 0.02) |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 27.89% ( -0.01) | 72.11% ( 0.02) |
| El Nacional Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 79.76% ( -0.13) | 20.24% ( 0.13) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 47.43% ( -0.21) | 52.57% ( 0.21) |
| Blooming Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 65.72% ( 0.2) | 34.28% ( -0.2) |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 29.02% ( 0.21) | 70.98% ( -0.21) |
| Score Analysis |
| El Nacional | Draw | Blooming |
| 1-0 @ 11.08% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.48% ( -0.02)2-0 @ 8.85% ( -0.07)3-1 @ 5.05% ( -0.03)3-0 @ 4.72% ( -0.05)3-2 @ 2.7% ( -0)4-1 @ 2.02% ( -0.02)4-0 @ 1.88% ( -0.03)4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0.01)Other @ 2.73% Total : 49.59% | 1-1 @ 11.86% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 6.94% ( 0)2-2 @ 5.07% ( 0.02)3-3 @ 0.96% ( 0)Other @ 0.11% Total : 24.95% | 0-1 @ 7.43% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 6.35% ( 0.05)0-2 @ 3.98% ( 0.05)1-3 @ 2.27% ( 0.03)2-3 @ 1.81% ( 0.02)0-3 @ 1.42% ( 0.02)Other @ 2.21% Total : 25.46% |
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