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Copa Libertadores | Group Stage
May 12, 2021 at 11pm UK
Complejo Deportivo Rentistas
SP

Rentistas
1 - 1
Sao Paulo

Gonzalez (13')
Sosa (23'), Urreta (65')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Manuel Orejuela (4')
Welington (32'), Diego (45'), dos Santos de Freitas (78')

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sao Paulo win with a probability of 39.57%. A win for Rentistas had a probability of 32.56% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Sao Paulo win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.19%) and 0-2 (7.4%). The likeliest Rentistas win was 1-0 (10.48%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.

Result
RentistasDrawSao Paulo
32.56%27.87%39.57%
Both teams to score 47.75%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.88%58.12%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.22%78.78%
Rentistas Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.93%33.07%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.33%69.67%
Sao Paulo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.35%28.65%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.53%64.47%
Score Analysis
    Rentistas 32.55%
    Sao Paulo 39.56%
    Draw 27.87%
RentistasDrawSao Paulo
1-0 @ 10.48%
2-1 @ 7.25%
2-0 @ 5.8%
3-1 @ 2.67%
3-0 @ 2.14%
3-2 @ 1.67%
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 32.55%
1-1 @ 13.1%
0-0 @ 9.48%
2-2 @ 4.53%
Other @ 0.76%
Total : 27.87%
0-1 @ 11.84%
1-2 @ 8.19%
0-2 @ 7.4%
1-3 @ 3.41%
0-3 @ 3.08%
2-3 @ 1.89%
1-4 @ 1.07%
0-4 @ 0.96%
Other @ 1.72%
Total : 39.56%

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