Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
2 | Estudiantes | 13 | 15 | 28 |
3 | River Plate | 13 | 18 | 26 |
4 | Boca Juniors | 13 | 6 | 24 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
20 | Independiente | 13 | -4 | 13 |
21 | Velez Sarsfield | 12 | -2 | 12 |
22 | Central Cordoba | 12 | -8 | 11 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 49.1%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 24.98%.
The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.3%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.28%), while for a Velez Sarsfield win it was 0-1 (8.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
River Plate | Draw | Velez Sarsfield |
49.1% ( -0.11) | 25.91% ( 0.03) | 24.98% ( 0.07) |
Both teams to score 49.09% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.7% ( -0.06) | 54.29% ( 0.05) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.31% ( -0.05) | 75.68% ( 0.04) |
River Plate Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.86% ( -0.07) | 22.14% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.47% ( -0.11) | 55.52% ( 0.1) |
Velez Sarsfield Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
63.04% ( 0.03) | 36.95% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
26.26% ( 0.03) | 73.74% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
River Plate | Draw | Velez Sarsfield |
1-0 @ 12.33% 2-0 @ 9.3% ( -0.02) 2-1 @ 9.26% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 4.67% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.65% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.32% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.76% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.75% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.05% Total : 49.1% | 1-1 @ 12.28% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.18% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.61% Other @ 0.85% Total : 25.91% | 0-1 @ 8.14% ( 0.03) 1-2 @ 6.11% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.05% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.03% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.53% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.35% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.77% Total : 24.98% |
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