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Copa Libertadores | Round of 16 | 2nd Leg
Jul 7, 2022 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Monumental Antonio Vespucio Liberti

River Plate
0 - 0
Velez Sarsfield

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Huracan 3-2 River Plate
Monday, July 4 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 0-1 Tucuman
Saturday, July 2 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division

We said: River Plate 2-0 Velez Sarsfield

River Plate were not at their best in the opening fixture last week, but you do not get the reputation they have by luck, and this is a resilient group that know how to handle any situation which may arise. It is hard to envision Velez Sarsfield being able to keep Los Millonarios at bay for a second successive fixture, especially on their home field, where River have tallied 14 times in three Libertadores encounters this year. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a River Plate win with a probability of 49.1%. A draw had a probability of 25.9% and a win for Velez Sarsfield had a probability of 24.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a River Plate win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.3%) and 2-1 (9.26%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.28%), while for a Velez Sarsfield win it was 0-1 (8.14%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.2% likelihood.

Result
River PlateDrawVelez Sarsfield
49.1% (-0.10700000000001 -0.11) 25.91% (0.030000000000001 0.03) 24.98% (0.073 0.07)
Both teams to score 49.09% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.7% (-0.060000000000002 -0.06)54.29% (0.055 0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.31% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)75.68% (0.044000000000011 0.04)
River Plate Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.86% (-0.070999999999998 -0.07)22.14% (0.067 0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.47% (-0.109 -0.11)55.52% (0.103 0.1)
Velez Sarsfield Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.04% (0.030999999999999 0.03)36.95% (-0.036000000000001 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.26% (0.032 0.03)73.74% (-0.037000000000006 -0.04)
Score Analysis
    River Plate 49.1%
    Velez Sarsfield 24.98%
    Draw 25.91%
River PlateDrawVelez Sarsfield
1-0 @ 12.33%
2-0 @ 9.3% (-0.017999999999999 -0.02)
2-1 @ 9.26% (-0.010000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 4.67% (-0.018999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.65% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.32% (-0.0050000000000003 -0.01)
4-0 @ 1.76% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.75% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
Other @ 3.05%
Total : 49.1%
1-1 @ 12.28% (0.02 0.02)
0-0 @ 8.18% (0.016999999999999 0.02)
2-2 @ 4.61%
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 25.91%
0-1 @ 8.14% (0.025 0.03)
1-2 @ 6.11% (0.012 0.01)
0-2 @ 4.05% (0.016 0.02)
1-3 @ 2.03% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.53% (0.00099999999999989 0)
0-3 @ 1.35% (0.006 0.01)
Other @ 1.77%
Total : 24.98%

Read more!
Read more!
Form Guide
Last Game: Huracan 3-2 River Plate
Monday, July 4 at 1am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 1-0 River Plate
Thursday, June 30 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: River Plate 2-1 Lanus
Sunday, June 26 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Union 1-5 River Plate
Sunday, June 19 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Colon 1-0 River Plate
Wednesday, June 15 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: River Plate 0-0 Tucuman
Sunday, June 12 at 12.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 0-1 Tucuman
Saturday, July 2 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 1-0 River Plate
Thursday, June 30 at 1.30am in Copa Libertadores
Last Game: Defensa 1-1 Velez Sarsfield
Saturday, June 25 at 7.30pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 2-0 Rosario
Monday, June 20 at 11pm in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Racing 2-0 Velez Sarsfield
Friday, June 17 at 1.30am in Argentine Primera Division
Last Game: Velez Sarsfield 0-1 Platense
Sunday, June 12 at 10pm in Argentine Primera Division


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