Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a La Equidad win with a probability of 40.4%. A win for Aragua had a probability of 36.2% and a draw had a probability of 23.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a La Equidad win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (6.71%) and 0-2 (5.54%). The likeliest Aragua win was 2-1 (8.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.41%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-2 win for La Equidad in this match.
