Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
18 | Cuiaba | 21 | -8 | 20 |
19 | Atletico Goianiense | 21 | -12 | 20 |
20 | Juventude | 21 | -18 | 16 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
1 | Nacional | 25 | 35 | 53 |
2 | Liverpool | 25 | 15 | 47 |
3 | Boston River | 24 | 10 | 44 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Goianiense win with a probability of 44.53%. A win for Nacional had a probability of 30.18% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Goianiense win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.13%) and 2-0 (7.56%). The likeliest Nacional win was 0-1 (7.88%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.99%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Goianiense would win this match.
Result | ||
Atletico Goianiense | Draw | Nacional |
44.53% ( -0.06) | 25.29% ( 0.01) | 30.18% ( 0.05) |
Both teams to score 54.79% ( -0.01) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.34% ( -0.03) | 48.66% ( 0.03) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.23% ( -0.03) | 70.77% ( 0.03) |
Atletico Goianiense Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
78.16% ( -0.04) | 21.84% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.93% ( -0.06) | 55.07% ( 0.06) |
Nacional Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.1% ( 0.02) | 29.9% ( -0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34% ( 0.02) | 66% ( -0.02) |
Score Analysis |
Atletico Goianiense | Draw | Nacional |
1-0 @ 9.93% 2-1 @ 9.13% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.56% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 4.63% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 3.83% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.79% ( -0) 4-1 @ 1.76% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.46% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.06% ( -0) Other @ 2.38% Total : 44.53% | 1-1 @ 11.99% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 6.53% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.51% 3-3 @ 1.12% ( -0) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.29% | 0-1 @ 7.88% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.24% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 4.76% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 2.91% ( 0) 2-3 @ 2.22% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.25% Total : 30.18% |
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