Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Banfield win with a probability of 45.95%. A win for Union La Calera had a probability of 27.7% and a draw had a probability of 26.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Banfield win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (8.53%). The likeliest Union La Calera win was 0-1 (8.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.5%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood.
