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Copa Sudamericana | Group Stage
May 13, 2021 at 1.30am UK
Estadio Hernando Siles

Bolivar
2 - 2
Wilstermann

Saavedra (23' pen., 42' pen.)
Sadiku (14'), Justiniano (17'), Cordano Justiniano (45'), Granell (64'), Guitian (75'), Villamil (85')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Osorio (6' pen.), Arano (86')
Melean (21'), Rigoberto Perez Torres (25'), Rodrigo Banegas Cury (39'), Sebastian Cagna (39'), Rodriguez (45')
Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Bolivar and Jorge Wilstermann.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolivar win with a probability of 53.74%. A win for Jorge Wilstermann had a probability of 23.54% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bolivar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.18%) and 2-0 (8.51%). The likeliest Jorge Wilstermann win was 1-2 (6.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.

Result
BolivarDrawJorge Wilstermann
53.74%22.71%23.54%
Both teams to score 57.67%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.78%42.22%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.37%64.63%
Bolivar Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.31%15.69%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.25%44.75%
Jorge Wilstermann Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.4%31.6%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.99%68.01%
Score Analysis
    Bolivar 53.74%
    Jorge Wilstermann 23.54%
    Draw 22.7%
BolivarDrawJorge Wilstermann
2-1 @ 9.8%
1-0 @ 9.18%
2-0 @ 8.51%
3-1 @ 6.05%
3-0 @ 5.25%
3-2 @ 3.48%
4-1 @ 2.8%
4-0 @ 2.43%
4-2 @ 1.61%
5-1 @ 1.04%
5-0 @ 0.9%
Other @ 2.69%
Total : 53.74%
1-1 @ 10.57%
2-2 @ 5.64%
0-0 @ 4.96%
3-3 @ 1.34%
Other @ 0.19%
Total : 22.7%
1-2 @ 6.09%
0-1 @ 5.71%
0-2 @ 3.29%
1-3 @ 2.34%
2-3 @ 2.17%
0-3 @ 1.26%
Other @ 2.68%
Total : 23.54%

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