Coverage of the Copa Sudamericana Group Stage clash between Bolivar and Jorge Wilstermann.
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolivar win with a probability of 53.74%. A win for Jorge Wilstermann had a probability of 23.54% and a draw had a probability of 22.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolivar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.18%) and 2-0 (8.51%). The likeliest Jorge Wilstermann win was 1-2 (6.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 5.6% likelihood.